Crypto Market (1st Dec. 2025)

Crypto Market (1st Dec. 2025)

1. Market Overview

Crypto markets start December on a stable, slightly risk-on tone.
Global liquidity conditions continue to improve, while BTC dominance stays elevated, keeping capital concentrated in major assets.

Key macro forces shaping the market:

  • Global M2 liquidity continues to recover from mid-year lows
  • Market expects the Fed to maintain an easing bias in early 2026
  • U.S. Treasury yields have stabilized, improving risk sentiment
  • ETF inflows into BTC remain positive, though slower than November
  • Altcoin performance remains highly selective depending on on-chain activity

Overall, large-cap assets maintain strong structural support, while altcoins see mixed participation.

2. Major Coin Breakdown

Bitcoin (BTC)

BTC remains the market’s anchor with stable structural inflows and strong institutional demand.

  • Dominance holds around 58–59%
  • ETF inflows positive but calmer compared to early November
  • Long-term holder selling pressure continues to ease
  • Funding rates remain neutral → stable positioning

Ethereum (ETH)

ETH shows improving relative strength as on-chain activity builds momentum.

  • ETH/BTC ratio stabilizing around 0.033
  • Layer-2 networks report rising transactions heading into December
  • DeFi TVL increases modestly
  • Staking supply growth continues to reduce circulating float

Solana (SOL)

SOL continues to outperform major altcoins thanks to strong ecosystem activity.

  • TVL, user activity, and DEX volumes rise in late November
  • High throughput and low fees remain a key advantage
  • Developer metrics and user retention remain among the strongest in L1 ecosystems
  • Liquidity depth improves as institutional interest grows

XRP

XRP remains sensitive to regulatory headlines, resulting in choppy price action.

  • Legal news continues to influence short-term sentiment
  • On-chain activity remains neutral
  • Global payment corridors stable
  • Retail-driven flows keep volatility elevated

Tezos (XTZ)

XTZ shows steady ecosystem development but still needs stronger liquidity to fuel upside momentum.

  • Developer activity increases across key repositories
  • NFT and gaming partnerships expand
  • TVL trends slightly higher
  • Trading volume remains thin compared to other mid-cap alts

3. Short-Term Trend Outlook (This Week)

BTC & ETH

  • Gradual upward bias
  • Strong structural support from ETFs and staking
  • Lower volatility than altcoins

SOL

  • Strongest momentum among major altcoins
  • Breakout potential if BTC volatility remains low

XRP

  • Wide range movement, driven by regulatory headlines
  • Short-term volatility remains elevated

XTZ

  • Quiet price action unless volume increases
  • Fundamentals improving but still early for a major trend shift

4. Key Indicators to Monitor

  • BTC Dominance (key gauge for altcoin rotation)
  • ETH/BTC Ratio (signals potential alt season)
  • Kimchi Premium (retail sentiment indicator)
  • USDT inflows/outflows
  • Spot + derivatives trading volume
  • Funding Rates on major exchanges
  • Total altcoin market cap

(This content is not investment advice. Investors are responsible for their own decisions.)

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Jamie Larson
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